Derrick Henry vs Puka Nacua: Who Should You Start?

Week 4 analysis

AstroLineup recommends starting Puka Nacua over Derrick Henry. Here's how the two compare on AstroScore, matchup, projected points, and expert consensus rank.

DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
vs
PN
Puka Nacua
WR · LAR
Verdict · Week 4
▲ Start Nacua
25
AstroScore
55
17.7
Projected Points
16.2
#2
ECR Rank
#44
vs TEN ★★★★★
Matchup
@ PHI ★★★★★
★ Why start Nacua over Henry?
→Henry leads the numbers — Henry projects ~1.5 points higher and ranks significantly ahead at #2, but Nacua's favorable cosmic conditions could overcome this gap
→Nacua's chart favors steady output — Nacua's chart points to a dependable, consistent week, while Henry's suggests restricted opportunities and reduced efficiency.
Henry’s stars25 · Suppressed
Real risk he falls well short of his 17.7-point projection
SaturnStructure & limits▼ Strong drag
Saturn tightens the structure around Henry this week, limiting how much room the game plan gives him to work. Expect reduced carries, modest yards per attempt, and a lower likelihood of breaking a long run or scoring.
Nacua’s stars55 · Neutral
Only minor influences this week, so trust his 16.2-point projection
SaturnStructure & limits▲ Slight boost
Saturn's mild favor this week rewards discipline and route precision over flash. Expect Nacua to see steady targets with a reliable catch rate and low mistake risk, giving him a dependable floor rather than a boom week.
More Week 4 Comparisons
JC
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN
35
VS
PN
Puka Nacua
WR · LAR
55
CL
CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL
60
VS
PN
Puka Nacua
WR · LAR
55
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
VS
CB
Chase Brown
RB · CIN
60
JT
Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND
30
VS
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
VS
ZF
Zay Flowers
WR · BAL
50
JT
Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND
30
VS
PN
Puka Nacua
WR · LAR
55