Derrick Henry vs Jonathan Taylor: Who Should You Start?

Week 4 analysis

AstroLineup recommends starting Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry. Here's how the two compare on AstroScore, matchup, projected points, and expert consensus rank.

DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
vs
JT
Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND
Verdict · Week 4
▲ Start Taylor
25
AstroScore
30
17.7
Projected Points
20.4
#2
ECR Rank
#8
vs TEN ★★★★★
Matchup
@ WAS ★★★★★
★ Why start Taylor over Henry?
→20.4 vs 17.7 projected points — Taylor outprojects Henry by 2.7 points this week
→Higher ECR rank for Henry — While experts rank Henry at number 2 versus Taylor at number 8, Taylor's superior astrology score of 30 compared to Henry's 25 could narrow that gap
→Taylor edges out Henry — Taylor's week looks slightly uneven, while Henry's points to real restriction, fewer chances and a lower ceiling.
Henry’s stars25 · Suppressed
Real risk he falls well short of his 17.7-point projection
SaturnStructure & limits▼ Strong drag
Saturn tightens the structure around Henry this week, limiting how much room the game plan gives him to work. Expect reduced carries, modest yards per attempt, and a lower likelihood of breaking a long run or scoring.
Taylor’s stars30 · Weak
Lean toward him falling short of his 20.4-point projection
MoonMood & rhythm▼ Strong drag
The Moon's pull this week unsettles his timing, making it harder to settle into a steady on-field rhythm. Expect inconsistent burst between carries, with efficiency dipping on early downs and vulnerability to a fumble if contact comes unexpectedly.
More Week 4 Comparisons
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
VS
CB
Chase Brown
RB · CIN
60
JT
Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND
30
VS
CM
Christian McCaffrey
RB · SF
45
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
VS
BR
Bijan Robinson
RB · ATL
35
JG
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · DET
55
VS
JT
Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND
30
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
VS
PN
Puka Nacua
WR · LAR
55
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
25
VS
ZF
Zay Flowers
WR · BAL
50