Ja'Marr Chase vs Josh Allen: Who Should You Start?

Week 4 analysis

Scoring

AstroLineup recommends starting Josh Allen over Ja'Marr Chase. Here's how the two compare on AstroScore, matchup, projected points, and expert consensus rank.

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · CIN

Josh Allen

QB · BUF

Verdict · Week 4

▲ Start Allen

AstroScore

18.6

Projected Points

23.1

ECR Rank

vs JAX ★★★★★

Matchup

vs NE ★★★★★

★ Why start Allen over Chase?

→23.1 vs 18.6 projected points — Allen projects 4.5 more points than Chase this week

→ECR #1 vs #2 — Expert consensus ranks Allen ahead of Chase across the board

→Allen favored, Chase limited — Allen's chart points to an aggressive, composed performance, while Chase's suggests restricted opportunities and a lower ceiling this week.

Chase’s stars35 · Weak

Lean toward him falling short of his 18.6-point projection

SaturnStructure & limits▼ Strong drag

Saturn imposes limits this week, tightening the margins Chase usually operates in and capping his upside. Expect reduced target share, slower route separation, and a muted big-play ceiling with touchdown chances harder to come by.

Minor factors: Moon (mood & rhythm) ▲ slight boost

Allen’s stars80 · Strong

Good bet to beat his 23.1-point projection, with big-game upside

MarsDrive & physicality▲ Moderate boost

Mars sharpens his physical edge this week, pushing him to attack running lanes and defenders rather than avoid them. Expect more designed and scramble rushing attempts, with a higher chance of explosive gains through contact.

MoonMood & rhythm▲ Moderate boost

The Moon keeps his timing settled, helping him stay composed when pressure or chaos builds around him. Expect cleaner decision-making under duress, fewer turnover-worthy plays, and more consistent accuracy in key moments.

More Week 4 Comparisons