Amon-Ra St. Brown vs Ja'Marr Chase: Who Should You Start?

Week 4 analysis

AstroLineup recommends starting Amon-Ra St. Brown over Ja'Marr Chase. Here's how the two compare on AstroScore, matchup, projected points, and expert consensus rank.

AB
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · DET
vs
JC
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN
Verdict · Week 4
▲ Start Brown
45
AstroScore
35
18.4
Projected Points
18.6
#3
ECR Rank
#2
@ CAR ★★★★★
Matchup
vs JAX ★★★★★
★ Why start Brown over Chase?
→Chase leads the numbers — Chase projects slightly higher at 18.6 points and ranks second versus Brown's third, but Brown's neutral cosmic conditions contrast sharply with Chase's challenging week, and Brown faces a very tough defense that may actually limit variance while Chase's average matchup could disappoint.
→Brown edges out a tough week — Brown's chart points to a shaky, unfocused week, while Chase's suggests fewer chances and a capped ceiling overall.
Brown’s stars45 · Neutral
Only minor influences this week, so trust his 18.4-point projection
MoonMood & rhythm▼ Slight drag
Game-day rhythm looks inconsistent, with focus wavering after any early setback. Expect target share to hold steady but efficiency to dip, with a higher chance of a drop or mistimed route.
Chase’s stars35 · Weak
Lean toward him falling short of his 18.6-point projection
SaturnStructure & limits▼ Strong drag
Saturn imposes limits this week, tightening the margins Chase usually operates in and capping his upside. Expect reduced target share, slower route separation, and a muted big-play ceiling with touchdown chances harder to come by.
Minor factors: Moon (mood & rhythm) ▲ slight boost
More Week 4 Comparisons
AB
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · DET
45
VS
CM
Christian McCaffrey
RB · SF
45
JC
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN
35
VS
KW
Kenneth Walker
RB · KC
55
JC
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN
35
VS
JA
Josh Allen
QB · BUF
80
CL
CeeDee Lamb
WR · DAL
60
VS
ZF
Zay Flowers
WR · BAL
50
CO
Chris Olave
WR · NO
45
VS
NC
Nico Collins
WR · HOU
65
PN
Puka Nacua
WR · LAR
55
VS
PW
Parker Washington
WR · JAX
70