Drake Maye vs Kyler Murray: Who Should You Start?

Week 4 analysis

AstroLineup recommends starting Kyler Murray over Drake Maye. Here's how the two compare on AstroScore, matchup, projected points, and expert consensus rank.

DM
Drake Maye
QB · NE
vs
KM
Kyler Murray
QB · MIN
Verdict · Week 4
▲ Start Murray
50
AstroScore
55
18.1
Projected Points
20.3
#12
ECR Rank
#13
@ BUF ★★★★★
Matchup
vs MIA ★★★★★
★ Why start Murray over Maye?
→Projected points edge — Murray projects 20.3 points compared to Maye's 18.1, a 2.2-point advantage.
→ECR rank vs cosmic conditions — Though Maye ranks #12 to Murray's #13 among experts, Murray's favorable cosmic conditions provide the edge needed to close that gap.
→Matchup difficulty — Murray faces Miami's defense at home, which has been very soft against quarterbacks, while Maye must travel to Buffalo to face a very tough defensive unit.
→Murray holds the edge — Murray's chart points to a smoother, well-timed week, while Maye's shows no notable pull in either direction.
Maye’s stars50 · Neutral
No cosmic push either way, so trust his 18.1-point projection
Quiet chart
No significant planetary activity this week. Astrology is not a factor; go by his projection and matchup.
Murray’s stars55 · Neutral
Only minor influences this week, so trust his 20.3-point projection
MoonMood & rhythm▲ Slight boost
The Moon's mild lift suggests Murray carries a steady emotional baseline into Sunday, keeping his decision-making calm under pressure. Expect fewer rushed throws, cleaner pocket decisions, and consistent accuracy on both short and intermediate passes.
More Week 4 Comparisons
DM
Drake Maye
QB · NE
50
VS
BY
Bryce Young
QB · CAR
75
KM
Kyler Murray
QB · MIN
55
VS
PM
Patrick Mahomes
QB · KC
30
JA
Josh Allen
QB · BUF
80
VS
PM
Patrick Mahomes
QB · KC
30
BP
Brock Purdy
QB · SF
50
VS
PM
Patrick Mahomes
QB · KC
30
LJ
Lamar Jackson
QB · BAL
70
VS
JA
Josh Allen
QB · BUF
80
JB
Joe Burrow
QB · CIN
60
VS
JA
Josh Allen
QB · BUF
80