Bijan Robinson vs Garrett Wilson: Who Should You Start?

Week 4 analysis

Scoring

AstroLineup recommends starting Garrett Wilson over Bijan Robinson. Here's how the two compare on AstroScore, matchup, projected points, and expert consensus rank.

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATL

Garrett Wilson

WR · NYJ

Verdict · Week 4

▲ Start Wilson

AstroScore

22.0

Projected Points

19.1

ECR Rank

@ NO ★★★★★

Matchup

@ CHI ★★★★★

★ Why start Wilson over Robinson?

→Robinson leads the numbers — Robinson projects ~3 points more and ranks higher at number 2 versus 5, but Wilson's favorable cosmic conditions could flip the advantage

→Softer opponent defense — Wilson faces Chicago's defense, which is very soft against his position, while Robinson encounters a tough New Orleans defense

→Wilson favored this week — Wilson's chart points to a composed, focused performance, while Robinson's suggests restricted opportunities and a lower ceiling.

Robinson’s stars35 · Weak

Lean toward him falling short of his 22-point projection

SaturnStructure & limits▼ Moderate drag

Saturn tightens the structure around his workload this week, limiting how much room he's given to operate. Expect fewer carries and targets than usual, with efficiency trending down and a capped ceiling on explosive runs or scores.

Wilson’s stars65 · Favorable

Lean toward him beating his 19.1-point projection

MoonMood & rhythm▲ Moderate boost

A steady lunar rhythm keeps Wilson even-keeled through the ups and downs of the game. Expect consistent target share and reliable hands, with fewer drops in pressure situations.

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